Short-term
2026–2028 — Impacts already visible or imminent
Ethics & Regulation: Shortterm (20262028) Current State The global regulatory landscape for artificial intelligence in early 2026 is defined by a fundamental asymmetry: AI capabilities are advancing at an exponential pace while governance frameworks remain fragmented, reactive, and often o...
Medium-term
2028–2033 — Transformations underway, accelerating
Ethics & Regulation: Mediumterm (20282033) Current State By 2028, the initial phase of reactive AI regulation gives way to a period of institutional maturation, enforcement experience, and the emergence of genuinely novel governance challenges. The regulatory frameworks established in the ...
Long-term
2033–2046 — Projected scenarios, structural shifts
Ethics & Regulation: Longterm (20332046) Current State Projecting AI governance over the 20332046 horizon requires reasoning about regulatory responses to AI systems that may be fundamentally different from those that exist in 2026. If current development trajectories continue and ther...