Short-term
2026–2028 — Impacts already visible or imminent
Cultural Production: Shortterm (20262028) Current State Generative AI has become the most disruptive force in cultural production since the internet itself. By early 2026, AIpowered tools for creating images, text, music, and video have moved from novelty to daily production reality acro...
Medium-term
2028–2033 — Transformations underway, accelerating
Cultural Production: Mediumterm (20282033) Current State By 2028, the initial shock phase of generative AI in creative industries has passed. The legal, economic, and cultural frameworks that were contested in 20242027 have begun to solidify, producing a new landscape that is neither th...
Long-term
2033–2046 — Projected scenarios, structural shifts
Cultural Production: Longterm (20332046) Current State By 2033, the cultural production landscape has been reshaped so thoroughly that the debates of the mid2020s "Will AI replace artists?" seem as quaint as the 1990s question "Will the internet kill bookstores?" The answer prove...