Short-term
2026–2028 — Impacts already visible or imminent
Economic Models: Shortterm (20262028) Current State The global economy in 2026 stands at the threshold of a structural transformation driven by generative AI adoption. The macroeconomic picture is paradoxical: corporate profits and productivity metrics are surging, while labor market anxie...
Medium-term
2028–2033 — Transformations underway, accelerating
Economic Models: Mediumterm (20282033) Current State By 20282033, the economic effects of AI that were incipient in the short term have matured into structural forces that demand systemic responses. The "augmentation" narrative where AI simply makes existing workers more productive ...
Long-term
2033–2046 — Projected scenarios, structural shifts
Economic Models: Longterm (20332046) Current State The longterm horizon represents a potential civilizational inflection in how human societies organize economic life. If AI capabilities continue advancing along current trajectories and particularly if artificial general intelligence (...